Nobel Peace Prize Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
$11.9m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$184k today
146
Ends in 6 months
$11.9m Vol.🔥$184k today$2.0m Liq.146Ends in 6 months
11%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
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$18k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
45%
Yes
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
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$5k Liq.
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72%
Happy Easter
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.4m Vol.
$153k Liq.
130
Ends in about 6 hours
$3.4m Vol.$153k Liq.130Ends in about 6 hours
2%
India
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
$19k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 22 hours
85%
60-79
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
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3
Ends in 7 months
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47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
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$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
60-79
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
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$3k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 5 days
87%
Sunday
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
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$36k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$595k Vol.$36k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
17%
↑ $3
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$63k Vol.
$19k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$63k Vol.$19k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$40k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$40k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
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$17k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$17k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$364k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$364k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 4 months
84%
Hong Wang