Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
W
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$91k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$17k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$17k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
R
12%
December 31, 2026
U
17%
December 31, 2026
I
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
$146k Vol.
$33k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$146k Vol.$33k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
$472k Vol.
$56k Liq.
64
Ends in 9 months
$472k Vol.$56k Liq.64Ends in 9 months
39%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$964k Vol.
$43k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
$964k Vol.$43k Liq.53Ends in 3 months
25%
Yes
W
Will any country leave NATO by...?
$607k Vol.
$131k Liq.
🔥$158k today
22
Ends in 9 months
$607k Vol.🔥$158k today$131k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31, 2026
N
12%
Yes
W
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
$529k Vol.
$263k Liq.
🔥$366k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$529k Vol.🔥$366k today$263k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
9%
December 31
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$74k Vol.
$90k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$90k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
31%
December 31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
I
11%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$164k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$164k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$22k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$22k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
W
No