Nuclear Technology Predictions & Odds· 110 markets
16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
U.S. nuclear test by...?
$592k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in about 5 hours
$592k Vol.$12k Liq.16Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Russia nuclear test by...?
$1.3m Vol.
$7k Liq.
8
Ends in about 5 hours
$1.3m Vol.$7k Liq.8Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
$128k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$128k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
45%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by...?
$598k Vol.
$16k Liq.
132
Ends in about 5 hours
$598k Vol.$16k Liq.132Ends in about 5 hours
3%
Yes
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$4k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
93%
April 30
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$89k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$89k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$908k Vol.
$18k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
$908k Vol.$18k Liq.25Ends in 3 months
31%
Yes
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$9k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$9k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
12%
Yes
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
$44k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$44k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
28%
April 30
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
$447k Vol.
$30k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$447k Vol.$30k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
49%
Yes
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
$2.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
309
Ended
$2.6m Vol.$0 Liq.309Ended
Yes
Israel military action against Iranian nuclear facility in March?
$50k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
$50k Vol.$0 Liq.6Ended
No
No