Nuclear Technology Predictions & Odds· 110 markets
24%
Isfahan nuclear facility
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
March 31, 2026
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
$137k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$137k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
46%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by...?
$601k Vol.
$15k Liq.
133
Ended
$601k Vol.$15k Liq.133Ended
2%
Yes
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$4k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$89k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$89k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$916k Vol.
$17k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
$916k Vol.$17k Liq.25Ends in 3 months
33%
Yes
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$8k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$8k Liq.38Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
12%
Yes
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
$49k Vol.
$38k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$49k Vol.$38k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
23%
April 30
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
$447k Vol.
$30k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$447k Vol.$30k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
49%
Yes
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
$2.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
309
Ended
$2.6m Vol.$0 Liq.309Ended
Yes
Israel military action against Iranian nuclear facility in March?
$50k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
$50k Vol.$0 Liq.6Ended
No
No