Open Source Intel Predictions & Odds· 956 markets
How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?
$771k Vol.
$62k Liq.
🔥$84k today
Ends in 4 days
$771k Vol.🔥$84k today$62k Liq.Ends in 4 days
96%
6-9
US strike on Cuba by...?
$2.8m Vol.
$94k Liq.
🔥$54k today
49
Ends in 9 months
$2.8m Vol.🔥$54k today$94k Liq.49Ends in 9 months
38%
December 31
US strike on Mexico by...?
$3.2m Vol.
$59k Liq.
161
Ends in 9 months
$3.2m Vol.$59k Liq.161Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
22%
December 31
24%
December 31
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
8%
Yes
45%
Yes
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$8k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$8k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$171k Vol.
$13k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$171k Vol.$13k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
40%
December 31, 2026
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in almost 2 years
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in almost 2 years
78%
SpaceX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$57k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
96%
SpaceX
82%
December 31, 2026
21%
December 31, 2026
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
$23k Vol.
$71k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$71k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes