Openai Vs Elon Predictions & Odds· 120 markets
W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$12k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in over 1 year
79%
SpaceX
L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$265k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$265k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
$57k Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in over 1 year
96%
SpaceX
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
$51k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in over 1 year
68%
Anthropic
O
24%
Yes
W
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$8k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
C
8%
Yes
O
12%
Yes
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1.4m Vol.
$22k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
$1.4m Vol.$22k Liq.3Ends in over 1 year
67%
$800B
E
Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?
$41k Vol.
$137k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$41k Vol.$137k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
13%
1320-1359
O
39%
December 31, 2026
E
Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?
$4.4m Vol.
$765k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$4.4m Vol.$765k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
11%
1280-1319
O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$983 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$983 Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
60%+