Openai Vs Elon Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$93k Vol.
$12k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$93k Vol.$12k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in over 1 year
75%
SpaceX
L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$257k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$257k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
$57k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in over 1 year
96%
SpaceX
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$51k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
57%
Anthropic
O
76%
Yes
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
$243k Vol.
$9k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$243k Vol.$9k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$47k Vol.
$5k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$47k Vol.$5k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$102k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
E
Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?
$566k Vol.
$61k Liq.
🔥$333k today
Ends in 1 day
$566k Vol.🔥$333k today$61k Liq.Ends in 1 day
41%
65-89
O
12%
Yes
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1.4m Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
$1.4m Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in over 1 year
76%
$800B
E
Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?
$60k Vol.
$167k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$60k Vol.$167k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
10%
1400-1439
O
36%
December 31, 2026
E
Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?
$4.6m Vol.
$827k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$4.6m Vol.$827k Liq.Ends in 28 days
8%
1360-1399
O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
49%
60%+