Operative Predictions & Odds· 156 markets
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$24k Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
19%
Yes
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
$19k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$19k Vol.$16k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
US forces enter Iran by..?
$54.0m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$7.8m today
5,054
$54.0m Vol.🔥$7.8m today$1.7m Liq.5,054
76%
December 31
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.5m Vol.
$139k Liq.
🔥$636k today
2
Ends in 9 months
$5.5m Vol.🔥$636k today$139k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
28%
5
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
$10.9m Vol.
$407k Liq.
🔥$317k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$10.9m Vol.🔥$317k today$407k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
3%
Saudi Arabia
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$182k Liq.
🔥$251k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$251k today$182k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
97%
Bahrain
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$474k Vol.
$196k Liq.
🔥$218k today
Ends in about 1 month
$474k Vol.🔥$218k today$196k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
26%
Saudi Arabia
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$2.0m Vol.
$14k Liq.
🔥$211k today
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$2.0m Vol.🔥$211k today$14k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
98%
March 27
Israel military action against Gaza on...?
$973k Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$142k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$973k Vol.🔥$142k today$18k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
40%
March 31
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$3.0m Vol.
$100k Liq.
🔥$94k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$3.0m Vol.🔥$94k today$100k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
99%
Military action through March 31
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$51k Liq.
🔥$91k today
105
Ends in 3 months
$1.0m Vol.🔥$91k today$51k Liq.105Ends in 3 months
87%
May 31
How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?
$769k Vol.
$90k Liq.
🔥$82k today
Ends in 4 days
$769k Vol.🔥$82k today$90k Liq.Ends in 4 days
96%
6-9
US strike on Cuba by...?
$2.8m Vol.
$70k Liq.
🔥$51k today
49
Ends in 9 months
$2.8m Vol.🔥$51k today$70k Liq.49Ends in 9 months
38%
December 31
US/Israel strike Yemen by...?
$398k Vol.
$13k Liq.
53
Ends in about 9 hours
$398k Vol.$13k Liq.53Ends in about 9 hours
19%
Yes
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$251k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$251k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 3 months
81%
June 30
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$165k Vol.
$140k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$165k Vol.$140k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Bahrain
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$127k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$127k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
92%
March 24
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
$4.8m Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$4.8m Vol.$81k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
$43k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$43k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
28%
April 30