Operative Predictions & Odds· 156 markets
W
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days
$26k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in 30 days
11%
Yes
E
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
$19k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$19k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
C
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
U
US forces enter Iran by..?
$57.7m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$5.7m today
5,489
$57.7m Vol.🔥$5.7m today$1.4m Liq.5,489
70%
December 31
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$164k Liq.
🔥$677k today
4
Ends in 9 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$677k today$164k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
39%
4
W
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
$11.0m Vol.
$520k Liq.
🔥$170k today
1
Ended
$11.0m Vol.🔥$170k today$520k Liq.1Ended
1%
Saudi Arabia
I
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
🔥$87k today
2
Ended
$2.0m Vol.🔥$87k today$10k Liq.2Ended
98%
March 27
I
Israel military action against Gaza on...?
$990k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$87k today
1
Ended
$990k Vol.🔥$87k today$16k Liq.1Ended
61%
March 31
W
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
$4.9m Vol.
$71k Liq.
🔥$82k today
1
Ended
$4.9m Vol.🔥$82k today$71k Liq.1Ended
0%
Yes
I
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
$1.1m Vol.
$50k Liq.
🔥$80k today
115
Ends in 3 months
$1.1m Vol.🔥$80k today$50k Liq.115Ends in 3 months
85%
June 30
I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$182k Liq.
🔥$64k today
1
Ended
$3.6m Vol.🔥$64k today$182k Liq.1Ended
97%
Bahrain
H
How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?
$781k Vol.
$46k Liq.
🔥$63k today
1
Ends in 4 days
$781k Vol.🔥$63k today$46k Liq.1Ends in 4 days
94%
6-9
M
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$3.0m Vol.
$85k Liq.
🔥$58k today
1
Ended
$3.0m Vol.🔥$58k today$85k Liq.1Ended
100%
Military action through March 31
U
38%
December 31
I
75%
March 31
W
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$488k Vol.
$180k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$488k Vol.$180k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
24%
Saudi Arabia
I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$187k Vol.
$141k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$187k Vol.$141k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
99%
Bahrain
U
6%
Yes
M
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$41k Vol.
$175k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$41k Vol.$175k Liq.Ends in 30 days
58%
Military action through April 30
I
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
$50k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$50k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
23%
April 30