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Outage Predictions & Odds· 281 markets

AllPoliticsScienceIranBusinessSocial MediaSam AltmanAIGptOpenAIAnthropicHackingCultureAmazonDowntimeInternetAstronomyTechAt&TCellular OutageSolar FlareOutageFacebookInternet SecurityPortugalCrashGeopoliticsChatgptHackBig TechIberiaElectricityGridKhameneiAWST MobileVerizonClaudeCloudflare
Facebook outage caused by hack?

Tech·outage

Facebook outage caused by hack?

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

ChatGPT Outage by...?

Tech·chatgpt

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

April 15

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

Tech·chatgpt

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

ChatGPT Outage by February 28?

Tech·sam altman

ChatGPT Outage by February 28?

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

Tech·sam altman

ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

Tech·sam altman

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$135k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

February 21

Cellular outage on Jan 14 caused by a hack?

Politics·Iran

Cellular outage on Jan 14 caused by a hack?

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

Tech·AWS

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

Yes

Will Claude go down on __ days in March?

Tech·downtime

Will Claude go down on __ days in March?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

11+

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

Politics·cloudflare

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours

February 28

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

Tech·AWS

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

Yes

Critical Discord Incident by...?

Culture·hack

Critical Discord Incident by...?

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months

March 31

US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?

Geopolitics·Iran

US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?

$101k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Spotify working again by midnight?

Tech·Breaking News

Spotify working again by midnight?

$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
222
Ended

No

Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a solar flare?

Tech·at&t

Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a solar flare?

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a hack?

All

Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a hack?

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?

Geopolitics·hack

archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?

$123k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

Spain power outage caused by hack?

iberia · Portugal

Spain power outage caused by hack?

$223k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

No