Palisades Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

13%
Isfahan nuclear facility

45%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
33%
April 30

27%
Yes

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
68%
Not revealed in 2026

Sports · Japan J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs. Montedio Yamagata
$0 Vol.
$18 Liq.
Ends in 25 days
$0 Vol.$18 Liq.Ends in 25 days
51%
Draw (Vegalta Sendai vs. Montedio Yamagata)

Sports · Japan J2 League
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo
$0 Vol.
$108 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$0 Vol.$108 Liq.Ends in 11 days
52%
Ventforet Kōfu

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$2 Vol.
$684 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2 Vol.$684 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
44%
<15 minutes

Sports · Japan J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs. Thespa Gunma
$0 Vol.
$248 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$0 Vol.$248 Liq.Ends in 4 days
45%
Draw (Vegalta Sendai vs. Thespa Gunma)

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
43%
160-179

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$12k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$12k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
160-179

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$155k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
$155k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 20 hours
79%
160-179

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
$119k Vol.
$31k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$119k Vol.$31k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31

17%
Yes

Sports · Japan J2 League
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. Fukushima United FC
$0 Vol.
$227 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$0 Vol.$227 Liq.Ends in 4 days
47%
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$8k Vol.
$632k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours
$8k Vol.$632k Liq.1Ends in about 4 hours
95%
25 - 30 minutes

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$362k Vol.
$140k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$362k Vol.$140k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
June 30

Sports · Games
CD Palestino vs. Montevideo City Torque
$0 Vol.
$11 Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$0 Vol.$11 Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
Draw (CD Palestino vs. Montevideo City Torque)
