Payroll Predictions & Odds· 134 markets

34%
100k+

32%
4.4%

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$18k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$18k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
62%
5.0%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$129 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$129 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up

250-300k

100-150k

>125k

50k–75k

50k–75k

<50k

100-150k

150-200k



