Peace Talks Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$367k Vol.
$210k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$367k Vol.$210k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
59%
Pakistan
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$364k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$364k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$388k Vol.
$46k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$388k Vol.$46k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$256k Vol.
$62k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
$256k Vol.$62k Liq.7Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$27k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$27k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$67k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$67k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Who will Trump talk to in April?
$13k Vol.
$143k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$143k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
77%
Mark Rutte
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$63.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
1,262
$63.8m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$1.4m Liq.1,262
72%
December 31
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
$2.5m Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$2.5m Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$155k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$155k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
14%
Yes
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.1m Vol.
$67k Liq.
🔥$68k today
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.1m Vol.🔥$68k today$67k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
74%
June 30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$46k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$62k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31
25%
Yes
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
$574k Vol.
$56k Liq.
🔥$229k today
101
Ends in 3 months
$574k Vol.🔥$229k today$56k Liq.101Ends in 3 months
97%
Yes
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
$1.1m Vol.
$49k Liq.
🔥$60k today
67
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.1m Vol.🔥$60k today$49k Liq.67Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Nothing Ever Happens: March
$291k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$291k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
71%
Nothing
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 8 days
40%
160-179
85%
Nothing
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$202k Vol.
$47k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
$202k Vol.$47k Liq.6Ends in about 1 month
10%
April 10