Peace Talks Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$365k Vol.
$198k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$365k Vol.$198k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
59%
Pakistan
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
$7k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$7k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
$764k Vol.
$25k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$764k Vol.$25k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$245k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1.1m Vol.$245k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$65k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$65k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$384k Vol.
$50k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$384k Vol.$50k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$464k Liq.
🔥$87k today
5,424
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$87k today$464k Liq.5,424Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$354k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$354k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
$126k Vol.
$9k Liq.
26
Ends in about 11 hours
$126k Vol.$9k Liq.26Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
$4.0m Vol.
$8k Liq.
985
Ends in 3 months
$4.0m Vol.$8k Liq.985Ends in 3 months
28%
June 30
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$387k Vol.
$46k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$387k Vol.$46k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
40%
June 30
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.4m Vol.
$152k Liq.
132
Ends in about 11 hours
$3.4m Vol.$152k Liq.132Ends in about 11 hours
2%
India
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$255k Vol.
$57k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
$255k Vol.$57k Liq.7Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$43k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$43k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
51%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,363
Ends in about 11 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,363Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$62k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$62k Vol.$14k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$67k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$67k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
