Police Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?

Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

1%

Yes

Eric Adams arrested by March 31?

Eric Adams arrested by March 31?

$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours

0%

Yes

Netanyahu arrested by March 31?

Netanyahu arrested by March 31?

$137k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in about 4 hours

0%

Yes

Les Wexner arrested by March 31?

Les Wexner arrested by March 31?

$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

0%

Yes

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

$413k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

30%

June 30

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

$40k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

56%

Yes

Trove founder arrested by March 31?

Trove founder arrested by March 31?

$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 1 day

1%

Yes

Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?

Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?

$69k Vol.
$718 Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours

1%

Yes

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

Culture

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

$52k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

Will the RSF capture Kadugli by March 31?

Will the RSF capture Kadugli by March 31?

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

1%

Yes

Either Tate brother arrested by...?

Either Tate brother arrested by...?

$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months

23%

June 30

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

55%

Juan Pablo Ledezma

Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

$79k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours

0%

Yes

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

$140k Vol.
$49k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

$144k Vol.
$9k Liq.
32
Ends in about 4 hours

0%

Yes

Obama arrested before 2027?

Obama arrested before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

$37k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 4 hours

1%

Yes

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$314k Vol.
$12k Liq.
27
Ends in about 4 hours

0%

Yes