Product Launch Predictions & Odds· 155 markets

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$252k Vol.
$2k Liq.
31
Ended

32%

Yes

W
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

$255k Vol.
$12k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months

60%

Yes

C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$1.9m Vol.
$57k Liq.
162
Ends in 28 days

56%

June 30, 2026

G
Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

$824k Vol.
$39k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months

31%

June 30

G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$130k Vol.
$5k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k Vol.
$23k Liq.
4

93%

June 30

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$216k Vol.
$22k Liq.
40
Ended

83%

December 31, 2026

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$70k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

59%

June 30

V
VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$43k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended

18%

Yes

G
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

$30k Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

19%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

26%

Yes

R
Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Team Liquid (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group A

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Team Liquid (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group A

$0 Vol.
$45 Liq.
Ends in 3 days

27%

LOS

R
Rainbow Six Siege: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group B

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group B

$0 Vol.
$44 Liq.
Ends in 3 days

28%

Ninjas in Pyjamas

R
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Trevmak n CO (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group B

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Trevmak n CO (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group B

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended

99%

Wildcard Gaming

L
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

$5k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 2 days

56%

Team WE

R
Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs INTZ (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group B

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs INTZ (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group B

$0 Vol.
$55 Liq.
Ends in 3 days

60%

LOUD

D
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Esports · Dota 2

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

$5 Vol.
$603 Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours

49%

REKONIX

C
Counter-Strike: ex-SportsBetExpert vs Reign Above (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: ex-SportsBetExpert vs Reign Above (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stage

$637 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

100%

ex-SportsBetExpert

D
Dota 2: GLYPH vs KukuysV3 (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2 · Esports

Dota 2: GLYPH vs KukuysV3 (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

$4k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

67%

GLYPH

D
Dota 2: Execration vs Ivory (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Esports · Dota 2

Dota 2: Execration vs Ivory (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

$11k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 hour