Product Launch Predictions & Odds· 152 markets
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$252k Vol.
$2k Liq.
31
Ended
$252k Vol.$2k Liq.31Ended
31%
Yes
W
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$255k Vol.
$11k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$255k Vol.$11k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
60%
Yes
C
56%
June 30, 2026
G
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$824k Vol.
$43k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$824k Vol.$43k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
30%
June 30
G
13%
Yes
G
83%
December 31, 2026
C
67%
June 30
G
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$12k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$12k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
A
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$315k Vol.
$107k Liq.
8
Ends in over 1 year
$315k Vol.$107k Liq.8Ends in over 1 year
48%
$200M
U
Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$127k Vol.
$99k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
$127k Vol.$99k Liq.3Ends in over 1 year
54%
$200M
N
Neutrl FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$0 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$0 Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
69%
$20M
C
Cambria FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$58k Vol.
$75k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
$58k Vol.$75k Liq.4Ends in over 1 year
52%
$20M
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.5m Vol.
$425k Liq.
🔥$163k today
258
Ends in 3 months
$14.5m Vol.🔥$163k today$425k Liq.258Ends in 3 months
62%
>$600M
B
Betmoar FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$18k Vol.
$64k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
$18k Vol.$64k Liq.3Ends in over 1 year
76%
$20M
T
Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$56k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
41%
$100M
G
Gensyn FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$1.1m Vol.
$117k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$117k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
64%
$200M
M
51%
Yes