Product Release Predictions & Odds· 275 markets
G
41%
0.1-0.3%
W
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$255k Vol.
$12k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$255k Vol.$12k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
60%
Yes
S
32%
0.5–0.9%
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$252k Vol.
$2k Liq.
31
Ended
$252k Vol.$2k Liq.31Ended
31%
Yes
W
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
$145k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ended
$145k Vol.$1k Liq.17Ended
72%
Yes
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$233k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
$233k Vol.$61k Liq.Ends in 14 days
54%
4.5-5.0%
N
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
17
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$8k Liq.17Ends in 10 months
14%
Yes
M
51%
0.5-1.0%
U
18%
2.5–3.0%
G
62%
>2.5%
A
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
W
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
$81k Vol.
$9k Liq.
38
Ends in 9 months
$81k Vol.$9k Liq.38Ends in 9 months
91%
Yes
W
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
57%
Yes
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$114k Vol.
$6k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$114k Vol.$6k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
37%
Necklace
W
When will Project Helix be released?
$0 Vol.
$151 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$151 Liq.Ends in 9 months
42%
May 31, 2027
W
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
$32k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$32k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
20%
June 30
W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
$107k Vol.
$24k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$107k Vol.$24k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
79%
Yes
W
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
73%
Yes
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$69k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$21k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
W
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes