Robot Predictions & Odds· 154 markets
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$68k Vol.
$19k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$19k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$248k Vol.
$11k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$248k Vol.$11k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
55%
Yes
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$78k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$78k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
47%
Yes
8%
Yes
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
31
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.31Ended
45%
December 31, 2026
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$800k Vol.
$138k Liq.
🔥$159k today
Ends in about 1 month
$800k Vol.🔥$159k today$138k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
83%
Anthropic
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$13k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
3%
Yes
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$12k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Which robot dancer brands will feature at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala
$594k Vol.
$0 Liq.
94
Ended
$594k Vol.$0 Liq.94Ended
Unitree Robotics
# of views of MrBeast's "World's fastest Man Vs. Robot!" video on week 1?
$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
221
Ended
$1.3m Vol.$0 Liq.221Ended
60-65M
All
Will Miso Robotics expand its restaurant partnerships in 2021?
$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$9k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
The Boy and the Heron
What will Bernie Sanders say during No Kings rally on March 28?
$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
$81k Vol.$0 Liq.9Ended
King 5+ times
David / Sacks