Robot Dreams Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$68k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$1k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
61%
Yes
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
8%
Yes
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$78k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$78k Liq.25Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
45%
Yes
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$802k Vol.
$167k Liq.
🔥$142k today
Ends in about 1 month
$802k Vol.🔥$142k today$167k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
85%
Anthropic
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$2.7m Vol.
$453k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2.7m Vol.$453k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$13k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$58k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
25%
Yes
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
39%
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$475k Vol.
$180k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$475k Vol.$180k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
49%
Anthropic
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$426k Liq.
64
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$426k Liq.64Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$116k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.0m Vol.$116k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Anthropic