Product Release Predictions & Odds· 296 markets
Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$16k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$16k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
0.1-0.3%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$249k Vol.
$11k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$249k Vol.$11k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
55%
Yes
37%
1.5–1.9%
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
31
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.31Ended
45%
December 31, 2026
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
$145k Vol.
$2k Liq.
17
Ended
$145k Vol.$2k Liq.17Ended
75%
Yes
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$203k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
$203k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 18 days
71%
4.5-5.0%
15%
Yes
Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$477 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$477 Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
46%
0.5-1.0%
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$212k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$212k Vol.$24k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
22%
2.0–2.5%
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 12 hours
$9k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 12 hours
2%
Yes
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
64%
Yes
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
$79k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in 9 months
$79k Vol.$6k Liq.38Ends in 9 months
88%
Yes
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$5k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$5k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
45%
Head-mounted display
When will Project Helix be released?
$0 Vol.
$128 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$128 Liq.Ends in 9 months
42%
May 31, 2027
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
$16k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$16k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$3k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
65%
Yes
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
$105k Vol.
$21k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$105k Vol.$21k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
80%
Yes
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$68k Vol.
$19k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$19k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31