Product Releases Predictions & Odds· 116 markets
W
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
A
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
W
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
57%
Yes
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.0m Vol.
$67k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months
$1.0m Vol.$67k Liq.63Ends in 10 months
33%
Yes
W
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
$31k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$31k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
19%
June 30
W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
$107k Vol.
$24k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$107k Vol.$24k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
79%
Yes
W
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$7k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
73%
Yes
C
59%
June 30
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$69k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$21k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
W
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
$81k Vol.
$8k Liq.
38
Ends in 9 months
$81k Vol.$8k Liq.38Ends in 9 months
91%
Yes
W
When will Project Helix be released?
$0 Vol.
$121 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$121 Liq.Ends in 9 months
42%
May 31, 2027
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$252k Vol.
$2k Liq.
31
Ended
$252k Vol.$2k Liq.31Ended
32%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$114k Vol.
$6k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$114k Vol.$6k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
40%
Necklace
W
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$255k Vol.
$12k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$255k Vol.$12k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
60%
Yes
G
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$824k Vol.
$38k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$824k Vol.$38k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
32%
June 30
D
87%
May 15