Product Releases Predictions & Odds· 152 markets
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 8 hours
$9k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
64%
Yes
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$28k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30
US recession by end of 2026?
$918k Vol.
$74k Liq.
48
Ends in 10 months
$918k Vol.$74k Liq.48Ends in 10 months
38%
Yes
50%
June 30
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
$14k Vol.
$2k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$2k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
66%
Yes
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
$105k Vol.
$21k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$105k Vol.$21k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
80%
Yes
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
$79k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in 9 months
$79k Vol.$5k Liq.38Ends in 9 months
86%
Yes
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$68k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
When will Project Helix be released?
$0 Vol.
$122 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$122 Liq.Ends in 9 months
42%
May 31, 2027
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
31
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.31Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
46%
Yes
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$254k Vol.
$11k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$254k Vol.$11k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
55%
Yes
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$809k Vol.
$74k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$809k Vol.$74k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
43%
June 30
VEO 4 released by...?
$41k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours
$41k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in about 8 hours
2%
Yes
54%
April 15