Product Releases Predictions & Odds· 152 markets
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours
$9k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
64%
Yes
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$28k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30
US recession by end of 2026?
$920k Vol.
$67k Liq.
51
Ends in 10 months
$920k Vol.$67k Liq.51Ends in 10 months
36%
Yes
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
$80k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in 9 months
$80k Vol.$5k Liq.38Ends in 9 months
90%
Yes
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$3k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
66%
Yes
49%
June 30
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
$106k Vol.
$23k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$106k Vol.$23k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
79%
Yes
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$68k Vol.
$19k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$19k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
When will Project Helix be released?
$0 Vol.
$109 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$109 Liq.Ends in 9 months
42%
May 31, 2027
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$7k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$7k Liq.32Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
46%
Yes
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$254k Vol.
$11k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$254k Vol.$11k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
56%
Yes
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$809k Vol.
$74k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$809k Vol.$74k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
43%
June 30
VEO 4 released by...?
$41k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours
$41k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in about 4 hours
2%
Yes
56%
April 15