Prop 50 Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
93%
Democratic Party
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$9k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$9k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
69%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$48k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$48k Liq.13Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
93%
Democratic Party
93%
Democratic Party
94%
Democratic Party
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
78%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
85%
Democratic Party
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
Politics
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$199 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$199 Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$754 Vol.
$749 Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$754 Vol.$749 Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
93%
Democratic Party
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 9 hours
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in about 9 hours
98%
Yes
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$2k Vol.$7k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
60%
Yes
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31?
$207k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$207k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Mamdani
By what margin will the California redistricting referendum pass?
$364k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
$364k Vol.$0 Liq.4Ended
20-30%