Public Release Predictions & Odds· 150 markets

W
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

$249k Vol.
$4k Liq.
167
Ended

32%

Yes

M
Meta "Mango" model released by...?

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

$22k Vol.
$5k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months

37%

Yes

L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m Vol.
$81k Liq.
22
Ends in over 1 year

44%

Morgan Stanley

W
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$572k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ended

4%

Yes

W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

$107k Vol.
$24k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

79%

Yes

W
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

73%

Yes

W
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

$145k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ended

72%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

26%

Yes

W
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$1.9m Vol.
$57k Liq.
162
Ends in 28 days

56%

June 30, 2026

D
DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$943k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 13 days

87%

May 15

W
Who visited Epstein's Island?

Who visited Epstein's Island?

$1.6m Vol.
$289k Liq.
120
Ends in 3 months

23%

Richard Branson

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$63k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days

57%

June 30

G
Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

$824k Vol.
$39k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months

31%

June 30

G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$130k Vol.
$5k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k Vol.
$23k Liq.
4

93%

June 30

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$216k Vol.
$22k Liq.
40
Ended

83%

December 31, 2026

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$70k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

59%

June 30

V
VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$43k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended

18%

Yes

𝕏 Money launched by...?

𝕏 Money launched by...?

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days

61%

April 30