Recount Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$85k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$85k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
40%
Lula da Silva <5%
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$39k Vol.
$104k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$39k Vol.$104k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
35%
Paxton 9%+
98%
Stratton 6–9%
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$7k Vol.$64k Liq.Ends in 12 days
24%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$15k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$15k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in 4 months
68%
Yes
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
40%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$19k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
84%
60-79
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
39%
160-179
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 8 days
30%
120-139
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 4 days
88%
<20
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$27k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 days
$27k Vol.$2k Liq.4Ends in 7 days
35%
81+
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
32%
<5
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$152k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$152k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
71%
160-179
35%
JP
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$26k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$26k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
96%
<20
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes