Recount Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$40k Vol.
$78k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$40k Vol.$78k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
34%
Paxton 9%+
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$70k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$70k Liq.7Ends in 6 months
37%
Lula da Silva <5%
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$7k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 12 days
28%
Rafael López Aliaga <5%
I
98%
Stratton 6–9%
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
S
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$19k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$19k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 4 months
69%
Yes
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$773 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$773 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 10 days
45%
160-179
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$55k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$55k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 days
43%
160-179
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$28k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 days
$28k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 7 days
36%
71–80
W
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$250k Vol.
$10k Liq.
🔥$101k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$250k Vol.🔥$101k today$10k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
97%
160-179
P
33%
JP
C
CZ # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$273 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$273 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 10 days
52%
<20
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
68%
Not revealed in 2026
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$230k Vol.
$25k Liq.
6
Ends in 21 days
$230k Vol.$25k Liq.6Ends in 21 days
85%
Yes
T
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
T
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$4k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
38%
0.6–0.9M
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
W
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
87%
50