Referenda Predictions & Odds· 321 markets
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$43k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
$240 Vol.
$248 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$240 Vol.$248 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$12k Liq.
28
Ends in about 5 hours
$551k Vol.$12k Liq.28Ends in about 5 hours
51%
December 31, 2026
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
$234k Vol.
$37k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$234k Vol.$37k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
26%
December 31
37%
JP
Spain snap election called in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
$27k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$27k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in 12 days
40%
FP
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$22k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$22k Liq.57Ended
50%
59-60%
68%
55-60%
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$43k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$43k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
$50.4m Vol.
$823k Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
105
Ends in 12 days
$50.4m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$823k Liq.105Ends in 12 days
67%
TISZA
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$7k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 12 days
27%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$381 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$381 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$17k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$17k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30
Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?
$122k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$122k Vol.$100k Liq.Ends in 12 days
38%
Other
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner
$50k Vol.
$24k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$50k Vol.$24k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
36%
JV