Reform Predictions & Odds· 199 markets

2
2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

54%

1800+

$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
W
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

15%

Yes

$150 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
S
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

10%

Yes

$41k Vol.
$28k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

35%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
2
2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

97%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$2.2m Vol.
$238k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months
W
Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Politics · Elections

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

83%

Plaid Cymru

$39k Vol.
$54k Liq.
3
Ends in 21 days
2
2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

42%

Reform

$7k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
W
Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

72%

Labour

$770 Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 21 days
S
Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Politics · World

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

Scottish National Party

$1.6m Vol.
$100k Liq.
9
Ends in 21 days
S
South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

95%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$2k Vol.
$31k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

2%

Yes

$31.7m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$882k today
3
Ends in 14 days
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

8%

Yes

$31.2m Vol.
$631k Liq.
🔥$418k today
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

19%

Yes

$15.0m Vol.
$383k Liq.
🔥$159k today
6
Ends in 9 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

5%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$429k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

93%

Yes

$540k Vol.
$66k Liq.
59
Ends in 3 months
C
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

33%

Yes

$144k Vol.
$39k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
I
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

No

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
836
Ended
N
Nigel Farage out as Leader of Reform before March?

No

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?

No

$564k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended
R
Reform share of votes in UK election?

11-15%

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended