Regulatory Affairs Predictions & Odds· 122 markets

W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$358k Vol.
$89k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

2%

Deutsche Bank

P
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

$203k Vol.
$15k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months

11%

Yes

S
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

4%

Yes

T
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

$34 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

32%

Yes

W
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

$103k Vol.
$4k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months

69%

Yes

L
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

C
Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

D
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Politics · Culture

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

$6k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1

10%

Yes

U
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

28%

Yes

W
What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?

What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?

$4k Vol.
$863 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

35%

Multichain

M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

W
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

$376 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours

91%

Trump

S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

$932k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months

51%

December 31

T
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

Trump · Fed Rates

Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

68%

June 30

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$12k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

51%

Yes

H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$437k Vol.
$6k Liq.
27

36%

Yes

T
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

$695 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

18%

Yes

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$42k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days

25%

April 30

Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$445 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

38%

60-79

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

71%

80-99