Regulatory Affairs Predictions & Odds· 122 markets
W
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$358k Vol.
$96k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$358k Vol.$96k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
2%
Deutsche Bank
W
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
$104k Vol.
$4k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$104k Vol.$4k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
63%
Yes
P
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
$203k Vol.
$22k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$203k Vol.$22k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
S
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
T
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?
$37 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$37 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
32%
Yes
L
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$9k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
C
11%
Yes
U
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
W
What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?
$4k Vol.
$892 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$892 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
36%
Multichain
M
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)
$397 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$397 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
93%
Trump
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$932k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$932k Vol.$8k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
51%
December 31
T
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
67%
June 30
M
51%
Yes
T
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
$799 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$799 Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 27 days
19%
Yes
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 1 day
70%
80-99
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$18k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
