Regulatory Affairs Predictions & Odds· 123 markets
W
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$362k Vol.
$94k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$362k Vol.$94k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
2%
BNP Paribas
W
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
$104k Vol.
$4k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$104k Vol.$4k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
69%
Yes
S
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
L
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$9k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
P
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
$203k Vol.
$24k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$203k Vol.$24k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
C
13%
Yes
T
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?
$37 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$37 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
32%
Yes
U
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
W
What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?
$4k Vol.
$808 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$808 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
32%
Solana
M
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
92%
Trump
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$932k Vol.
$14k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
$932k Vol.$14k Liq.13Ends in 9 months
44%
December 31
T
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$8k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
73%
June 30
M
53%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$51k Vol.$8k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
18%
Yes
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$16k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$16k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
S
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$21k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$21k Vol.$2k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
90%
Yes
K
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$150k Vol.
$100k Liq.
36
Ends in 6 days
$150k Vol.$100k Liq.36Ends in 6 days
73%
INC