Resign Predictions & Odds· 515 markets
Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
5%
Yes
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$404k Vol.
$128k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$404k Vol.$128k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
$1.6m Vol.
$29k Liq.
23
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.6m Vol.$29k Liq.23Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
6%
Yes
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
$2.5m Vol.
$40k Liq.
44
Ends in 3 months
$2.5m Vol.$40k Liq.44Ends in 3 months
9%
Before 2027
Netanyahu out by...?
$89.3m Vol.
$4.7m Liq.
🔥$5.9m today
33
Ends in 9 months
$89.3m Vol.🔥$5.9m today$4.7m Liq.33Ends in 9 months
44%
December 31
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$239k Liq.
🔥$117k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$117k today$239k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
$34k Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$23k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
35%
December 31, 2026
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$6k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$6k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
Trump out as President by March 31?
$13.4m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$568k today
Ends in about 7 hours
$13.4m Vol.🔥$568k today$3.4m Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$78.6m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$298k today
206
Ends in 9 months
$78.6m Vol.🔥$298k today$1.3m Liq.206Ends in 9 months
65%
Delcy Rodríguez
Trump out as President before 2027?
$5.4m Vol.
$376k Liq.
🔥$205k today
1
Ends in 9 months
$5.4m Vol.🔥$205k today$376k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$253k Liq.
🔥$127k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$127k today$253k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
49%
December 31
Trump out as President by April 30?
$227k Vol.
$149k Liq.
🔥$110k today
Ends in about 1 month
$227k Vol.🔥$110k today$149k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Trump out as President by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$721k Liq.
🔥$83k today
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.🔥$83k today$721k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
61%
December 31
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$515k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$515k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$171k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$171k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes