Resignation Predictions & Odds· 450 markets
N
Netanyahu out by...?
$90.8m Vol.
$4.0m Liq.
🔥$3.5m today
33
Ends in 9 months
$90.8m Vol.🔥$3.5m today$4.0m Liq.33Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$262k Liq.
🔥$140k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$140k today$262k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
45%
December 31
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$174k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$174k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
X
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$66k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$66k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
D
Dublin-Central By-Election Winner
$690k Vol.
$85k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$690k Vol.$85k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
76%
Daniel Ennis
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
$34k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
B
1%
Yes
A
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
$55k Vol.
$9k Liq.
23
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$9k Liq.23Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$29k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
37%
Leadership Change
W
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$404k Vol.
$128k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$404k Vol.$128k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
41%
December 31, 2026
W
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
$2.5m Vol.
$36k Liq.
44
Ends in 3 months
$2.5m Vol.$36k Liq.44Ends in 3 months
9%
Before 2027
P
Geopolitics · Politics
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
$102k Vol.
$24k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$24k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
27%
December 31, 2026
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$115k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$115k Vol.$10k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
W
6%
Yes
V
yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$506 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$506 Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
U
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$4k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$4k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
M
football · Sports
Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$74 Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$74 Liq.3Ends in 9 months
52%
Yes
U
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 30 days
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 30 days
11%
Yes