Respiratory Illness Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
W
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?
$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$1k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 8 days
84%
Yes
N
New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner
$791k Vol.
$142k Liq.
4
Ends in 2 months
$791k Vol.$142k Liq.4Ends in 2 months
57%
Greg Hull
F
Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$8k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$8k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 3 days
96%
80–85
N
8%
Yes
M
45%
Yes
N
12%
Yes
C
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
W
10%
Isfahan nuclear facility
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$19k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$19k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
W
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 17 hours
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 17 hours
10%
↓ 39000
N
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
$229k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$229k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
M
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$46k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$46k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
90%
1800
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$180 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$180 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 10 days
35%
60-79
M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
N
0%
Yes
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.1m Vol.
$563k Liq.
258
Ends in 3 months
$14.1m Vol.$563k Liq.258Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
U
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?
$83k Vol.
$8k Liq.
5
Ended
$83k Vol.$8k Liq.5Ended
1%
Yes
