Respiratory Illness Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
W
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?
$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$3k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 6 days
82%
Yes
N
New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner
$791k Vol.
$84k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$791k Vol.$84k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
56%
Greg Hull
F
Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$14k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$14k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
95%
80–85
N
7%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
C
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
$66k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$540k Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$121k today
173
$540k Vol.🔥$121k today$18k Liq.173
15%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
N
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
$230k Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$230k Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
M
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$75k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$75k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in 27 days
95%
1800
M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.5m Vol.
$443k Liq.
🔥$159k today
258
Ends in 3 months
$14.5m Vol.🔥$159k today$443k Liq.258Ends in 3 months
63%
>$600M
A
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
$358k Vol.
$37k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
$358k Vol.$37k Liq.23Ends in 3 months
71%
June 30
A
48%
Yes
O
100%
Yes
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.0m Vol.
$69k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months
$1.0m Vol.$69k Liq.63Ends in 10 months
32%
Yes
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
62%
↓ 0.40