Sally Kornbluth Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

G
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. La Salle Explorers

NCAA Basketball · Sports

George Washington Revolutionaries vs. La Salle Explorers

$0 Vol.
$18 Liq.
Ended

50%

George Washington Revolutionaries

U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$133k Vol.
$29k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

$29k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 days

27%

71–80

E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

U
UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Cards

red card · Europa Conference League

UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Cards

$14k Vol.
$387 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

45%

Cher Ndour

U
UEFA Europa League: Most Cards

Europa League · Soccer

UEFA Europa League: Most Cards

$2k Vol.
$258 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

56%

Elliot Anderson

U
UEFA Champions League: Most Cards

Soccer · Champions League

UEFA Champions League: Most Cards

$3k Vol.
$74 Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

48%

Lamine Yamal

C
Central African Republic National Assembly Election Winner

97%

MCU

N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$444k Vol.
$32k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

41%

Yes

N
NE-03 House Election Winner

NE-03 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Republican Party

W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$13k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

34%

140-159

W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

$512 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

79%

President 50+ times

H
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

$4 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

43%

30 - 35 minutes

U
US/Israel military action against Yemen by...?

US/Israel military action against Yemen by...?

$460k Vol.
$17k Liq.
66
Ended

1%

Yes

W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$167k Vol.
$41k Liq.
🔥$56k today
Ends in about 12 hours

100%

200+

U
US strikes Yemen by...?

US strikes Yemen by...?

$382k Vol.
$14k Liq.
10
Ended

1%

Yes

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$76k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 27 days

54%

June 30

W
WTT - Women's Singles: Yu-Bin Shin vs Tung-Chuan Chien

Sports · Games

WTT - Women's Singles: Yu-Bin Shin vs Tung-Chuan Chien

$81 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Shin

O
OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

$487 Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

94%

Democratic Party