Science Predictions & Odds· 589 markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$22.0m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$435k today
820
Ends in 9 months
$22.0m Vol.🔥$435k today$1.2m Liq.820Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$65k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$65k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 2 months
100%
May 31
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$40k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$40k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 5 days
50%
1
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
NASA Artemis II
$699k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 11 hours
$699k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 11 hours
83%
April 30
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$30k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$30k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
91%
1800
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
11–13
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
$386k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$386k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
1%
1600
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$72k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$72k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
66%
8+
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$21k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$21k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
43%
1
Precipitation in Seattle in March?
$321k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$321k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
95%
5-6"
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$348k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$348k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 9 months
37%
5-6
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$649k Vol.
$92k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years
$649k Vol.$92k Liq.8Ends in almost 2 years
46%
2.0T+
Precipitation in NYC in March?
$172k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$172k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
82%
3-4"
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$256k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$256k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$528k Vol.
$26k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$528k Vol.$26k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$208k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$208k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 10 days
45%
1.25–1.29ºC
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$168k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$168k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$363k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$363k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 4 months
84%
Hong Wang