Sciene Predictions & Odds· 173 markets

W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.5m Vol.
$203k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

60%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$22.2m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$484k today
820
Ends in 9 months

17%

December 31

W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$4.0m Vol.
$169k Liq.
🔥$62k today
172
Ends in over 1 year

63%

Other

A
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

$78k Vol.
$30k Liq.
🔥$53k today
Ends in 2 months

100%

April 30

M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m Vol.
$41k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

97%

↑2k

H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Earthquakes · Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

$49k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

52%

1

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m Vol.
$107k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months

67%

8+

L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m Vol.
$76k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year

30%

Morgan Stanley

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

28%

14–16

W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m Vol.
$122k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months

45%

2

M
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

Measles · Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

$46k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

90%

1800

S
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$905k Vol.
$120k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year

93%

>$1T

N
NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$708k Vol.
$17k Liq.
95
Ended

92%

April 30

P
Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

$331k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ended

98%

5-6"

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$675k Vol.
$16k Liq.
10
Ends in 12 months

43%

1

P
Precipitation in NYC in March?

Precipitation in NYC in March?

$180k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ended

98%

3-4"

M
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

$393k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ended

1%

1600

1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$530k Vol.
$20k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

H
Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

$1.9m Vol.
$34k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 months

3%

Yes

N
Nipah virus in US by March 31?

health · Science

Nipah virus in US by March 31?

$51k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ended

0%

Yes