Sciene Predictions & Odds· 173 markets
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$211k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.$211k Liq.Ends in 9 months
59%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$22.2m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$396k today
820
Ends in 9 months
$22.2m Vol.🔥$396k today$1.2m Liq.820Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31
W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$4.0m Vol.
$179k Liq.
🔥$60k today
172
Ends in over 1 year
$4.0m Vol.🔥$60k today$179k Liq.172Ends in over 1 year
63%
Other
A
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$81k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$81k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 2 months
100%
May 31
M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$39k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$39k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
97%
↑2k
H
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$49k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$49k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 5 days
52%
1
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$108k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$108k Liq.23Ends in 3 months
67%
8+
L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$82k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year
$1.2m Vol.$82k Liq.18Ends in over 1 year
30%
Morgan Stanley
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$32k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
14–16
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$119k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$119k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
45%
2
M
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$46k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$46k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 30 days
90%
1800
S
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$905k Vol.
$120k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year
$905k Vol.$120k Liq.18Ends in over 1 year
93%
>$1T
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$675k Vol.
$16k Liq.
10
Ends in 12 months
$675k Vol.$16k Liq.10Ends in 12 months
43%
1
1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$20k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$20k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
H
Human moon landing in 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$34k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 months
$1.9m Vol.$34k Liq.24Ends in 9 months
3%
Yes
N
0%
Yes