Secretary Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$12k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$937 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$937 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
H
How long will the DHS shutdown last?
$1.3m Vol.
$41k Liq.
🔥$74k today
Ended
$1.3m Vol.🔥$74k today$41k Liq.Ended
90%
52+ days
R
23%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$76k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$76k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in 27 days
3%
Yes
W
1%
Yes
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.6m Vol.
$166k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$166k Liq.Ends in 9 months
77%
Pam Bondi
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$941 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$941 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
61%
December 31, 2026
T
31%
June 30
H
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$4 Vol.
$642 Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$4 Vol.$642 Liq.Ends in 27 days
43%
20 - 25 minutes
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$296 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$296 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 27 days
75%
President 50+ times
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$50k Vol.
$9k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$50k Vol.$9k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
19%
Yes
S
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
$23 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$23 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$6k Vol.
$19k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$19k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$408k Vol.
$10k Liq.
17
Ended
$408k Vol.$10k Liq.17Ended
38%
June 30, 2026
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
U
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
$51k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$51k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 3 months
35%
Yes
F
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$9k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 16 days
56%
Yes