Secretary Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$11k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$74k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
$284k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$284k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$51k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$51k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
8%
Yes
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$81k Vol.
$54k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours
$81k Vol.$54k Liq.1Ends in about 6 hours
9%
Jacky Rosen
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$176k Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$114k today$176k Liq.Ends in 9 months
58%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?
$41k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 6 hours
$41k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
1%
Yes
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$857 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$857 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026
27%
June 30
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$8k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours
$8k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 6 hours
78%
25 - 30 minutes
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 6 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 6 hours
$312k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$476 Liq.
2
Ends in about 6 hours
$3k Vol.$476 Liq.2Ends in about 6 hours
2%
Yes
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$32k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$32k Vol.$53k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
100%
Administration 10+ times
Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar
$18k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in about 6 hours
$18k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in about 6 hours
100%
Nothing