Secretary Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$11k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$522k Vol.
$131k Liq.
🔥$83k today
Ends in about 1 month
$522k Vol.🔥$83k today$131k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
25%
April 13-16
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.6m Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$1.6m Vol.$81k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
100%
After March 31
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$74k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
$282k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$282k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$50k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$50k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
8%
Yes
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$80k Vol.
$53k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours
$80k Vol.$53k Liq.1Ends in about 8 hours
8%
Jacky Rosen
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$154k Liq.
🔥$169k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$169k today$154k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?
$41k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 8 hours
$41k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
1%
Yes
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$833 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$833 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$919 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$919 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
40%
<15 minutes
27%
June 30
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 8 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 8 hours
$312k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$767 Liq.
2
Ends in about 8 hours
$3k Vol.$767 Liq.2Ends in about 8 hours
2%
Yes
Other