Secretary Of Treasury Predictions & Odds· 148 markets

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$51k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$51k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
8%
Yes

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$390k Vol.
$11k Liq.
17
Ends in about 6 hours
$390k Vol.$11k Liq.17Ends in about 6 hours
4%
Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
$284k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$284k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$74k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes

46%
Mia Mottley

Next President of Vietnam
$27.5m Vol.
$486k Liq.
🔥$487k today
237
Ended
$27.5m Vol.🔥$487k today$486k Liq.237Ended
93%
Tô Lâm

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$379k Vol.
$316k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$379k Vol.$316k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
65%
Eric Swalwell

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$29k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$29k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
100%
Commander-in-Chief

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$170k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$170k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours
$8k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in about 6 hours
78%
25 - 30 minutes

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
$901k Vol.
$45k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months
$901k Vol.$45k Liq.47Ends in 3 months
59%
December 31

Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$65k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$65k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
$556k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$556k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
16%
April 30

Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?
$41k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 6 hours
$41k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes

34%
Yes

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
$874k Vol.
$76k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours
$874k Vol.$76k Liq.1Ends in about 6 hours
29%
December 31

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$39k Vol.
$67k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$39k Vol.$67k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
35%
Paxton 9%+

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$45k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$45k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
69%
Dem-Rep
