Secretary Of Treasury Predictions & Odds· 148 markets

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

$51k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

8%

Yes

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$390k Vol.
$11k Liq.
17
Ends in about 6 hours

4%

Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

$284k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours

0%

Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

27%

Yes

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?

$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours

1%

Yes

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

$365 Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ended

46%

Mia Mottley

Next President of Vietnam

Next President of Vietnam

$27.5m Vol.
$486k Liq.
🔥$487k today
237
Ended

93%

Tô Lâm

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

$379k Vol.
$316k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months

65%

Eric Swalwell

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

$29k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours

100%

Commander-in-Chief

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

$7.6m Vol.
$170k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours

78%

25 - 30 minutes

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

$901k Vol.
$45k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months

59%

December 31

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Geopolitics · World

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

$1.7m Vol.
$65k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$556k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours

16%

April 30

Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?

Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?

$41k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 6 hours

0%

Yes

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

$121k Vol.
$28k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

34%

Yes

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

$874k Vol.
$76k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours

29%

December 31

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

23%

Yes

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

$39k Vol.
$67k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

35%

Paxton 9%+

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

$45k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months

69%

Dem-Rep