Secretary Of Treasury Predictions & Odds· 111 markets
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$74k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
1%
Yes
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
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$584 Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$584 Liq.15Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$262k Liq.
🔥$358k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$358k today$262k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?
$41k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 14 hours
$41k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
$282k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$282k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
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$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$46k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
8%
Yes
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$35 Vol.
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Ends in about 14 hours
$35 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
46%
<15 minutes
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$11k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?
$158k Vol.
$12k Liq.
8
Ends in about 14 hours
$158k Vol.$12k Liq.8Ends in about 14 hours
1%
Yes
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
$36k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$36k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 3 months
38%
Yes
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$243k Vol.
$22k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
$243k Vol.$22k Liq.33Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
Politics · Economy
US defaults on debt by 2027?
$15k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
1%
Yes
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
$10k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$10k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 3 months
35%
Yes
Scott Bessent
No