Secretary Predictions & Odds· 378 markets
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$408k Vol.
$10k Liq.
17
Ended
$408k Vol.$10k Liq.17Ended
42%
June 30, 2026
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$73k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$73k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 27 days
3%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$919 Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$919 Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
W
76%
Rafael Grossi
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$933 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$933 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
N
Next President of Vietnam
$29.3m Vol.
$454k Liq.
🔥$942k today
243
Ended
$29.3m Vol.🔥$942k today$454k Liq.243Ended
94%
Tô Lâm
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.7m Vol.
$306k Liq.
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.7m Vol.$306k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
$964k Vol.
$31k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months
$964k Vol.$31k Liq.47Ends in 3 months
49%
December 31
X
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$77k Liq.Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes
C
33%
Yes
T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$44k Vol.
$112k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$44k Vol.$112k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
28%
Paxton 9%+
C
California voter ID referendum passes?
$4k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 7 months
21%
Yes
W
24%
Yes
W
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$422k Vol.
$386k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$422k Vol.$386k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
64%
Eric Swalwell
U
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
$51k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$51k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 3 months
35%
Yes
P
Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$46k Vol.
$49k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$46k Vol.$49k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
72%
Dem-Rep
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$287 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$287 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 27 days
75%
President 50+ times
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$16k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$16k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
69%
Yes