Self Driving Predictions & Odds· 119 markets
H
How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
$133k Vol.
$37k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$133k Vol.$37k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
45%
12+
W
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$78k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$78k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
S
54%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
W
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
$6.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
878
Ended
$6.6m Vol.$0 Liq.878Ended
Yes
W
Science · AI
Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?
$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$13k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
No
T
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?
$15.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,491
Ended
$15.0m Vol.$0 Liq.1,491Ended
June 30, 2026
W
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
$117k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ends in 3 months
$117k Vol.$0 Liq.3,137Ends in 3 months
Yes
W
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?
$251k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ended
$251k Vol.$0 Liq.3,137Ended
No
W
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
$11.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ended
$11.9m Vol.$0 Liq.3,137Ended
No
W
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ended
$1.3m Vol.$0 Liq.3,137Ended
Yes
W
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
$975k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,137
Ended
$975k Vol.$0 Liq.3,137Ended
No
W
What will Jensen Huang say during the NVIDIA GTC Keynote?
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.19Ended
GPU 5+ times
W
Chip
W
Self-Driving 3+ times
W
Self Driving
F
<$1b / No token in 2024