Senate 1 Predictions & Odds· 146 markets
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.4m Vol.
$336k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
$1.4m Vol.$336k Liq.6Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$483k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$483k Liq.Ends in 7 months
86%
Democratic Party
K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$66k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$66k Vol.$33k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
85%
Yes
W
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
4%
Yes
H
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$113k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$113k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
57%
7
H
How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$4k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
$4k Vol.$6k Liq.1
83%
0
H
51%
2
H
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?
$26k Vol.
$495 Liq.
Ended
$26k Vol.$495 Liq.Ended
57%
4
H
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?
$12k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$12k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 28 days
57%
0
P
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$88k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$88k Vol.$53k Liq.Ends in 9 months
74%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$43k Vol.
$100k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$43k Vol.$100k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
31%
Paxton 9%+
N
34%
Chuck Schumer
W
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
$105k Vol.
$9k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$105k Vol.$9k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
T
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
33%
0.6–0.9M
#
77%
24-26
W
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
$38k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$38k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 28 days
5%
Yes
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
$247k Vol.
$57k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$247k Vol.$57k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
75%
PL
P
36%
JP
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held
$6k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months
$6k Vol.$21k Liq.2Ends in 6 months
75%
PL