Sexual Misconduct Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Culture
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
$52k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$52k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
Politics
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$198 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$198 Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
$113k Vol.
$12k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$113k Vol.$12k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
Epstein client list released by...?
$3.9m Vol.
$24k Liq.
667
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.$24k Liq.667Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended
$4k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ended
1%
Yes
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ended
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ended
2%
Yes
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
68%
Not revealed in 2026
24%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Culture · Politics
Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ended
3%
Yes
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
$202k Vol.
$10k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$202k Vol.$10k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 30 days
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 30 days
9%
Yes
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
$75k Vol.
$86k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$75k Vol.$86k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
16%
Dong Jun
red card · Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Cards
$14k Vol.
$342 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$14k Vol.$342 Liq.Ends in about 2 months
45%
Pere Pons Riera
27%
No Prison Time
Soccer · Sports
UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Red Cards
$6k Vol.
$257 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$6k Vol.$257 Liq.Ends in about 2 months
56%
Joseph Mbong
25%
Yes
46%
Yes