Shipping Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
$48k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$48k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
$83k Vol.
$37k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$83k Vol.$37k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
58%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$98k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
7%
March 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$414 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$414 Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
19%
April 5
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$334k Vol.
$91k Liq.
🔥$56k today
33
Ends in about 1 month
$334k Vol.🔥$56k today$91k Liq.33Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$17k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$17k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
63%
<2
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$64k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
98%
<5
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$648k Vol.
$140k Liq.
🔥$365k today
16
Ends in about 1 month
$648k Vol.🔥$365k today$140k Liq.16Ends in about 1 month
28%
United States
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$20k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$20k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
40%
June 30
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in about 9 hours
$50k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$18k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
45%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
35%
0-10
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$595k Vol.
$36k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$595k Vol.$36k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
17%
↑ $4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$444k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$444k Liq.254Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$52k Liq.
🔥$247k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$247k today$52k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
96%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$17k Liq.Ended
43%
30-34
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
65%
20+